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Asgard2208's avatar

Generally I think this is positive news. My only comment would be regarding any negotiations with Trump (or any US President, for that matter): you need to future proof any agreement against incoming Presidents.

VVP has stated many times that the west is agreement incapable, and so it has proved, with regard to both missile treaties, NATO expansion, and Minsk 1 & 2. Not sure how Russia could realize that since Minsk was ratified into international law through the UNSC, and ignored by the west. So, how do you reach agreements with people who ignore the law when it suits them (as in, all the time)?

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Alan's avatar

Thanks for sharing your analysis.

It appears (to me) to be very optimistic, and seems to assume that the fanatics in the EU, UK and US will not continue to purposefully cause trouble in whatever rump State remains of Ukraine, using its vassals.

Plus, potentially nuclear-tipped NATO missiles will remain in bases within easy range of expanded Russian territory, unless NATO is disbanded and geography comes to dictate persistent sphere's of influence with, at minimum, continued subversion and chronic terrorism, given the well ingrained hatred that has been seeded by the USSR and accelerated by the current Hegemon and its Euro-Satellites.

Are you so optimistic that you see the probability of a new Security Architecture rolling back NATO membership to 1997 or earlier and greater than 50%? 25%?

If so, I'd like to know your reasons, because I'd like to be as optimistic as you seem to be.

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