Biden's departure is, of course, a milestone, but it seems to me that there is much more behind this decision than purely US domestic political affairs, and noteably, in the previous few weeks, a number of key events took place that very seriously influenced the balance of power in the world.
The first important event for us is the end of the next plenum of the Chinese Communist Party. The interpretation of the results is this: Comrade Xi will definitely stay until 2029, and if health allows, then until 2035. This is very important, since the contours of building a future non-American-centric world are already obvious. Therefore, stable power in key countries is very important.
The second equally important event is the visit of Indian Prime Minister Modi to Russia. This isn't just a formality, as it is his first visit after the election. He also hints that the Indian establishment has decided on the Great Game of our time - the country is ready to balance the China-Russia-India triangle, which is decisive for building the future world. However, there is something else that India is ready to contribute to the common treasury of the future.
There is such a thing as the deep Washington bureaucracy - this is a professional bureaucracy that governs the United States. And it is believed that it is immigrants from India who are a serious force in this apparatus. Hence it is not at all accidental that both US Vice President Kamala Harris and Senator and vice-presidential candidate from the Republican Party J.D. Vance have ascended (both have something that connects them with India).
Now, let's assume that Modi could ask Putin for the direct participation of Indian resources on the side of the Great Triangle (China-Russia-India). Now this probably looks like a conspiracy theory, but... there is such a phenomenon in the world - “Indian revenge” or “Gandhi’s path." It exists as a fact and as part of the great Indian unifying national idea. This will be a great Revenge against the great Colonizer - Great Britain.
In short, according to Gandhi's teachings, the best revenge lies in the absorption and re-education of Great Britain. That is, Modi came to Moscow, one might say, to divide the UK and Europe.
I dare to suggest that in the future, Great Britain will move into the Indian zone of influence. This is such neocolonialism in the reverse - now Europe will work for China, India and Russia. Why neocolonialism - because the future absorption of Europe is planned through the same economic mechanisms.
India, in fact, has already begun to do this. We will definitely talk about this separately because there is a very interesting configuration there - Iran and Turkey should also get their share.
Now, let's look at how the brewing big war in Africa may also have to do with Biden's departure.
It is already obvious that Russia is today breaking through a large Middle Eastern corridor to North Africa. The question of reconciliation between Syria and Turkey is directly on the agenda. In this regard, China and Russia view pressure on Israel as part of a game against America. For the States, Israel is the opposite of Ukraine - the United States can not lose this ally and will always support Israel in any situation. That is, this is the weak point of the United States, so Israel will be supported from the outside along the entire perimeter and at all levels. It’s stupid to provoke instability because Israel is a very predictable country.
The players will be dragged into a major Middle East war by any means necessary. If it blazes in Lebanon, Syria will immediately come into play. Syria will join, and Egypt will begin to play actively. These are just the first dominoes, but when Israel begins to topple, all the rest will fall.
Now the main mess is brewing around the straits; in fact, there is a takeover of this transport artery: China, India, Russia, and additionally Iran and Turkey, maintaining the share of Arab countries and minimizing the participation of the United States and allies.
Here, a special role is assigned to Turkey; let me remind you, this is a wounded European citizen who was never accepted into the European Union and generally they tried to keep them on the periphery. Now, there is an active game going on around Erdogan. He has been offered a place at the common table in a new coalition that claims to rule the world.
Erdogan is being courted so much that it is possible that the collapse of NATO will begin with Turkey’s exit in the next few years.
It is in this context that it is probably worth considering Biden’s step down. Biden's hawkish team was ready to fight for US leadership everywhere and in everything by any means necessary. Trump and Vance are the people who will most likely agree to concede and roll back from some positions. Moreover, the Great Triangle openly threatens the United States with destabilization of South America. This will be a direct response to the destabilization of the situation in the Pacific Ocean - around Taiwan and especially the Philippines.
That is, the Great Triangle makes it clear to America and its allies that not only can they start wars around the world - China, Russia and India are also ready for this. The world has completely changed!
Brilliant. But isn't the ongoing friction between China and India an issue?
Thanks!!!