Russian Strategy of a Thousand Cuts

Large front-line report on November 1-6, 2023

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are choking on their own blood.

The most important thing you need to know about what is happening at the front these days is that Russian active defense (designated as a phenomenon by the Supreme Commander [ref. to Vladimir Putin]) has begun to bear fruit everywhere. The initiative in 4 of the five main areas has firmly passed to our army. I will remind you of the names of these directions from North to South: Kupyanskoe, Krasnolimanskoe, Donetsk, Zaporozhye and Khersonskoe.

It has already been confirmed as a fait accompli this week: the enemy stopped attempting an offensive and sat on the defensive in the Zaporozhye direction. On the contrary, our troops began gradually going on the offensive. In fact, the essence of such phenomenon which is designated as “active defense” is a widespread, total seizure of the initiative along the entire front line.

And today we will analyze what this could mean for the enemy in this autumn-winter period.

A stable term has already been established at the front to denote the current stage of hostilities - the strategy of a thousand cuts. And today, at the end of the second month of the battle for the initiative, we can state that the enemy is choking on his own blood. The enemy's losses almost doubled, both literally and figuratively. And in some areas, these losses have even increased manifold - for example, like in aircraft (glory to the Russian air defense, the deadliest air defense in the world. -The Ukrainian litaks [from Ukrainian a plane, here – war plane] are kaputt).

And the desperate situation in which the ukies [Ukrainians] find themselves is best demonstrated by the suicidal actions they are trying to take in the Kherson direction.

Kherson is a direction where our forces have not yet switched to active defense. And it’s clear why – the river Dnieper. And exactly here the ukies are trying to demonstrate activity, simply because our guys still allow them to do this. But look how they do it. Despite facing fire and irrespective of losses, they are still stupidly trying to capture a bridgehead on our bank of the Dnieper. According to statistics from our Ministry of Defense, dill [Ukrainians] lays about 150 corpses a day to hold their bridgehead near Kherson in the Podstepovoye area. The week-long battles here had already cost them almost a thousand men.

For what? What is the purpose? Do the ukies really hope that they will be able to expand this bridgehead to the extent that it becomes possible to drag a strike force here and head further into the breakthrough. Breakthrough to where? Obviously - to nowhere, because Armyansk (the gateway to Crimea) is more than a hundred kilometers away.

And the ukies have still not been able to travel 30 kilometers from Zaporozhye to Tokmak with an armored group of 160 thousand people.

But in this case, they are dead sure they can make 100 kilometers to Armyansk without armored vehicles, given that they are huddled together on a small bridgehead – this is so true.

And most importantly (this is the very cry of the Nazi soul): the Ukrop strike force, hey, answer me, where are you?” And there is only silence in response – gone to final rest in the steppes of Zaporozhye. Miraculously, the surviving remnants are now successfully killing themselves near Avdeevka, Bakhmut, Seversk, and so on.

At the same time, not everyone is aware that our Kherson group numbers more than one hundred thousand bayonets. For example, it includes several powerful missile and artillery brigades, air assault brigades, as well as GRU special forces brigades.

I'm not even talking about magical gliding bombs, which, launched from the depths of our territory can easily eradicate all the dill along with their bridgehead to the very root.

In other words, in terms of banal logics, this idiotic action of ukries does not make any sense. It makes sense only from the point of view of the sick psyche of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. They are trying to show that they have the initiative on at least one sector of the front. Can you imagine how bad things are for them if they are already taking such suicidal actions - 1000 corpses of their soldiers a week for the sake of pathetic PR in the eyes of their Western masters.

The Gaza Strip is not even close to that. At the same time, one cannot help but note the delightful cynicism of our command, who can liquidate the Ukrops’ bridgehead at any moment, but is in no haste to do so. Let more Nazis die in another suicidal action.

Let’s move on. As I already noted, that de facto the most significant news of the week was the transfer of the initiative to us in the Zaporozhye direction. Ivan Kleshcherev, the commander of the 70th Guards Regiment, was awarded the title of Hero of Russia at the same time. Congratulations with all our hearts! I would like to remind you that the main blow of the dill counterattack fell precisely on the 70th and 1430th regiments.

In Zaporozhye, the tactic of a thousand cuts is portrayed as this.

Near Rabotino, our troops entrenched themselves along the Orekhov-Novoprokopovka highway, which is running along the southern outskirts of the village, and from this line they regularly conduct deep raids, preventing the enemy from gaining a foothold in the village and at the Rabotino-Verbovoye line.

In general, our tactics here are already standard for this campaign – our troops, retreat slightly if put under pressure by the ukies, creating a situation of a half-cauldron. And then they methodically exterminate the enemy troops, which are regularly driven into this trap.

However, this week an interesting sequel began to emerge - our troops cut the Orekhov - Rabotino highway near ​​the southern pond. And they began methodically clearing out the enemy’s strongholds to the right and left of the pond (this area may be considered as the southwestern outskirts of the village). This means, the neck of the bag at the Rabotino-Verbovoe line begins to slowly tighten.

The same things started to happen on the northern flank near Verbovoe – our troops have begun methodical stripping of the enemy’s strongholds along the dirt road connecting Verbovoe to Rabotino. This used to be the only more or less working transport artery along which the dill somehow tried to move in and out of Verbovoye. And so, our troops have seized control over four enemy’s strongpoints this week. And almost seven were taken control of on the opposite flank at Rabotino.

Enemy losses here average up to one hundred people a day for a week. Let's fix this cut and move on.

The next line: the village of Mirnoye - Marfopol - 4 enemy strongholds were seized control of.

The next line is - the village of Malinovka-Priyutnoye-Staromayorskoye (Vremevsky ledge) - 5 enemy strongpoints, three units of armored vehicles.

Moving to Staromayorskoye-Urozhaynoe line. During these hours, our troops must cut the most important highway Staromayorskoye - Ravnopol.

In general, processes observed here are exactly the same as near Rabotnino. The foolish ukies drove about 3 thousand dill-fighters here to the Staromayorskoye - Urozhaynoye line, which is slightly wider than 6 kilometers, creating nearly 50 strongpoints here, and this is just the first line.

And now our people are methodically exterminating them from both sides - this frontier is another classic dill-style sack.

“A dill-style sack” has already become such a brand designation, like Kiev’s cutlets [famous dish – cotelette de volaille, particularly popular in the post-Soviet states] - The dill's way of creating it is different from that of an ordinary sack: by themselves and for themselves, for the purpose of stubbornly dying there.

Let us move further along the front line. We must pay attention to the Ugledar direction - Slowly, our marines and special forces began to advance on this direction. (see Map 4). So far, only two enemy strongpoints have been taken, but they are very valuable. Our troops are now assaulting a complex of farms at the Pavlovka line in order to advance to the southern tip of Ugledar so they can sieze control of the most important intersection of the rocade [front road] connecting Ugledar with Marinka. And the regional road leading to the village of Bogoyavlenskoye.

That’s all for today - despite the seemingly slow development, there are a lot of events at the front, and let’s talk in detail about the situation in the other three directions (Donetsk, Krasnolimanskoye and Kupyanskoye) separately during the week. There are a lot of delicatesses waiting for us here for, and we really don’t want to have too many irons in the fire.

Let's emphasize once again – our troops have seized the initiative in 4 main directions of the front out of five. At the moment, we have moved on to the next stage of the autumn-winter campaign: we are gnawing through the enemy’s main line of defense, which is a dense network of strongpoints (small winding trenches), densely interspersed with machine-gun pillboxes.

The width of this defense line is up to 10 kilometers. It is necessary to pay attention to the fact that the pressure on this line of defense goes along the entire front - that is, the enemy is not allowed to manipulate reserves, they simply don’t have enough of them.

Another important fact is that on average, every three to four weeks one of the directions “wakes up” and joins the total war, starting from August. First, after Kuzeevsky breakthrough, the Kupyanskoye direction started working, then the Krasnolimanskoye direction, then the Donetsk direction, and now Zaporozhye joined the rest. This logic suggests that we may have to wait for events in the Kherson direction. God willing.

Another important fact is the depletion of artillery. Not only is there a lack of shells, but also of artillery barrels. The enemy used to create a serious concentration of artillery in individual areas by moving mobile wheeled self-propelled guns from one area to another. Now they can no longer afford it. For example, at nearly 10 km wide Rabotino-Verbovoye border, which is very dangerous for dill, only one battery is working. Moreover, it is towed. This means that, for example, if our troops strike simultaneously from several directions in this area, the Ukrainians will simply have no time to retarget.

But this is a separate topic - I will try to illustrate it from the experience of the military operations of my native Slavyanka [First Slavic Guards Bregade], which I am now observing directly.

The same is true for almost all other equipment, for example, tanks. The fools spent so much of their armored vehicles, carried away by their “counteroffensive”, so, there are no complete mechanized brigades left to strengthen the most breakthrough-prone areas.

Here, again, a detailed analysis of tactics is needed using the example of the battles near Bakhmut, so that the reader can clearly understand what depths of the ass the dills have driven themselves into in this area as well. To be continued.